2026 Kentucky Derby: Win, place, show and trifecta picks from horse racing guru

Key Points:

• The 2026 Triple Crown begins with the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on Saturday, followed by the Preakness Stakes at Laurel Park and the Belmont Stakes at Saratoga Race Course before returning to Belmont Park next year.
• Todd Pletcher-trained Renegade is the 4-1 morning-line favorite for the Kentucky Derby, with Commandment, Further Ado, Chief Wallabee, and The Puma rounding out the top contenders.
• Renowned handicapper Jeff Hochman, who has a strong track record with 22 profitable Triple Crown races and a 65.7% win rate in summer 2025, has shared his picks and betting strategies for the Derby.
• Hochman notably excludes Commandment from his wagers despite the horse's high odds, citing the absence of top jockeys Irad Ortiz Jr. and Flavien Prat, while he favors longshot The Puma as a dangerous contender.
• Hochman’s top selections include a horse with exceptional finishing speed and a big longshot who excels in heavy traffic, with full picks and betting insights available through SportsLine.