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2026 Open Championship odds: Picks, predictions by model that's nailed 17 majors
CBS Sports • • general
Key Points:
- The 2026 Open Championship will begin on Thursday, July 16, at Royal Birkdale Golf Club in Southport, England, with defending champion Scottie Scheffler favored at +750 odds.
- Rory McIlroy (+950), Tommy Fleetwood (+1500), and Matt Fitzpatrick (+1500) are among the top contenders, while Jordan Spieth is a longshot at +10000 seeking his first PGA win since 2022.
- A proprietary model by DFS pro Mike McClure, which has accurately predicted 17 majors including the last Open Championship, simulated the event 10,000 times and provided surprising insights and picks.
- The model suggests fading Tommy Fleetwood despite his odds and past top-5 finishes, while highlighting Ludvig Aberg (+3300) as a top-3 contender due to his steady major performances and strong driving skills.
- Several longshots, including one at roughly 50-1 odds, are targeted by the model, with full picks and the projected leaderboard available exclusively through SportsLine.
