2026 Oscar Predictions: The Awards Alchemist Predicts the Nominees in All 24 Categories
AwardsWatch • • entertainment
Key Points:
- The 2026 Oscar race is characterized by clear momentum and alignment, with Paul Thomas Anderson’s "One Battle After Another" (OBAA) emerging as the dominant frontrunner expected to set the benchmark for other films.
- The forecasting method used relies heavily on data analysis, including festival performance, guild alignment, critics’ tallies, international influence, and box office metrics, rather than social media buzz or instinct alone.
- International representation in the Academy has grown significantly since 2020, influencing nominations beyond the International Feature category, notably in Best Director and acting categories, reflecting a structural shift in Oscar voting patterns.
- Key predicted Best Picture contenders include OBAA, "Hamnet," "Sinners," "Marty Supreme,"
