AI forecasts possible US strike on Iran using public data
Key Points:
- Four major AI platforms were tested on predicting the exact date of a potential US strike on Iran, with varying responses ranging from refusal to provide a date to offering specific forecasts based on public information and assumptions.
- Claude initially refused to name a date but later suggested a limited strike could occur around March 7-8, 2026, based on probability and public timelines, emphasizing uncertainty and scenario-building.
- Gemini provided a trigger-based timeline tied to diplomatic events and later narrowed the operational window to March 4-6, 2026, with detailed military timing considerations such as a night strike to maximize stealth.
- Grok consistently predicted February 28, 2026, as the likely date for a limited strike if Geneva talks fail, while