Berkshire's Biggest Second-Quarter Move Was This Stock. Should You Buy, Sell or Hold?
Key Points:
- Berkshire Hathaway made a $17 billion purchase of Alphabet shares in Q2, making it its third-largest holding, citing Alphabet's attractive valuation and growth prospects despite a 69% stock rise over the past year.
- Alphabet trades at 17 times trailing earnings with a PEG ratio under 1, supported by 24% revenue growth and strong operating margins; Q2 revenue hit $119.8 billion with Google Cloud growing 82% and operating income tripling.
- Concerns exist over Alphabet’s rising capital expenditures, which doubled to $44.9 billion in Q2, leading to negative free cash flow and increased long-term debt, causing some investors to hesitate amid regulatory and competitive pressures.
- Analysts remain bullish, with 57 of 63 rating Alphabet a Buy or Strong Buy and an average price target of $421.79, implying about 23% upside; key upcoming catalysts include Cloud revenue conversion and TPU system sales impacting profitability.
- Berkshire’s investment thesis hinges on continued Cloud growth and stable Search monetization, with risks including excessive AI capital spending without revenue gains and potential compression of Search revenue due to AI integration.