Bruce Blakeman could unseat Hochul and turn New York red, stunning poll reveals
Key Points:
- A new Siena College poll shows New York Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman trailing incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul by 10 points (49% to 39%) among likely voters, a narrower gap than Lee Zeldin faced at the same point in the 2018 race.
- Hochul's current lead is slimmer than those of other Democratic incumbents in statewide races, with Attorney General Letitia James leading by 18 points and Comptroller Tom DiNapoli by 23 points.
- Hochul maintains strong support among women, Black voters, and New York City residents, while Blakeman leads in suburban areas and has notable backing from Catholics and 42% of Jewish voters.
- On key issues, Hochul is favored over Blakeman for increasing affordable housing and making prices more affordable, while voters are nearly evenly split on who would better handle public safety.
- Other Republican-leaning polls suggest an even tighter race, with margins ranging from 4 to 6 points in Hochul's favor, indicating a competitive gubernatorial contest ahead of the November 3 election.