College football Week 2 score projections: Model predicts every FBS vs. FBS game including Ohio State-Texas
nytimes.com • • sports
Key Points:
- The top college football matchup this Saturday features No. 1 Ohio State visiting No. 4 Texas, with both the odds and projection model indicating a nearly even contest.
- The model slightly favors Ohio State by 1 point at Texas and predicts Oklahoma to win at Michigan by 5.1 points, aligning closely with current betting spreads.
- Projections factor in past performance, returning talent, and recruiting rankings, while also considering uncertainties from coaching changes and transfer portal impacts.
- Early in the season, Oregon leads with an 82% chance to make the College Football Playoff, followed closely by Notre Dame and Indiana at 81%, with Ohio State and Texas at 76% and 58%, respectively.
- Saturday’s Ohio State-Texas game is expected to significantly influence playoff probability estimates, which are updated weekly based on game outcomes.
