Current storms, forecast
Key Points:
- The update provides real-time tracking and satellite imagery for tropical systems in both the Atlantic and Pacific basins during the current hurricane season.
- Key factors affecting storm development include wind shear, which disrupts cyclone formation, and dry, dusty air from the Sahara Desert that inhibits thunderstorm growth.
- Various tools and data are available for monitoring, such as forecast cones of uncertainty, radar, spaghetti models, sea surface temperatures, and accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) metrics.
- The season's activity is compared to historical averages through storm tracks and ACE, which measures the combined strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes.
- Areas shaded in purple indicate high wind shear zones, while brown shading highlights regions with dry, dusty air unfavorable for storm development.