Democrats build gigantic advance voting lead in New Jersey

Key Points:

• Democrats hold a substantial early voting lead in New Jersey’s congressional races, with a statewide advantage of over 305,000 ballots and 60.5% of early votes cast, compared to 22.2% for Republicans, six days before Election Day.
• Significant Democratic gains are evident in key Republican-held districts, including the 7th district where Democrats lead by 24,398 votes, and the 2nd district with a 13,920-vote advantage, both showing large swings from 2025 early voting data.
• Democratic turnout has increased by 7.2% compared to 2025, while Republican turnout has declined by 23.5%, contributing to a growing Democratic margin in early voting across all 12 congressional districts and multiple traditionally Republican counties.
• Despite the early voting trends favoring Democrats, the figures reflect party registration and early ballots, not actual votes for candidates, and Republicans may still gain ground during remaining early voting days and on Election Day.
• Democrats have already surpassed their total 2025 early voting margin with six days left, indicating a stronger early electorate position than in the previous gubernatorial election when Democrat Mikie Sherrill won by 14 points.