Dolly could soon form
Key Points:
- The Atlantic hurricane season is approaching its busiest period, with a tropical disturbance in the eastern Atlantic (Invest 96L) potentially developing into Tropical Storm Dolly later this week.
- The system is currently about 2,500 miles from the Lesser Antilles and faces challenges from El Niño-enhanced wind shear and dry air, which could inhibit its development as it moves west-northwest.
- If the system overcomes these obstacles, it may turn northward in the Atlantic next week, possibly intensifying into a tropical storm or hurricane away from El Niño's influence, though it is not an immediate threat to the U.S. mainland.
- Residents of the Lesser Antilles are advised to monitor the system's progress, as it could bring increased showers by Sunday and potentially more significant impacts later.
- While El Niño conditions tend to suppress storm formation, the Atlantic hurricane season’s peak from August to mid-September means vigilance remains crucial, as a single storm can still have significant effects.