Elections in Hungary: What do the polls say?
Key Points:
- Hungary's upcoming parliamentary election poses the biggest challenge yet to Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, with multiple polls showing the opposition Tisza Party gaining significant ground, some predicting a two-thirds majority for Tisza.
- Medián, a highly regarded polling agency, forecasts Tisza securing 138-143 out of 199 seats, which would allow constitutional changes and a major political shift, while Fidesz is projected to win only 49-55 seats.
- Support for Tisza is strongest among younger and more educated voters, with the party leading even in rural areas traditionally favoring Fidesz; dissatisfaction with Orbán's government is growing, with a majority of voters desiring change.
- Despite unfavorable polls, Orbán remains confident about a Fidesz victory but acknowledges the difficulty of overturning a potential loss; his government admits that winning a two-thirds majority is unlikely, though they still expect to finish first.
- Other smaller parties like the far-right Mi Hazánk may enter parliament with a few seats, while the socialist Democratic Coalition and satirical Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party are expected to win none.