Homestead tax amendment falling short in 60% support needed to pass, but many remain undecided, UNF poll finds

Key Points:

• A University of North Florida poll shows Florida’s Amendment 3 on homestead property tax exemptions is polling at 50% support, below the 60% needed to pass in November, with 14% undecided voters potentially influencing the outcome.
• The poll reveals that longer-term Florida residents are more likely to oppose Amendment 3, while newer residents tend to support it; support also varies across party lines, with Republicans showing more support than Democrats but with significant crossover.
• Environmental protection is prioritized by 61% of respondents over economic growth, with Democrats and Independents largely favoring the environment, whereas newer residents and some Republicans lean toward economic development.
• The Florida governor’s race is tight, with Republican Byron Donalds leading Democrat David Jolly by 2 points, and Republican Senator Ashley Moody leading Democrat Angie Nixon by 4 points, both within the poll’s margin of error.
• Messaging and campaign advertisements could significantly influence voter decisions, especially among independents who favor Democrats in these races but are sensitive to negative campaign themes regarding candidates’ affiliations and records.