Instant 2026 Tony odds analysis predictions
Gold Derby • • entertainment
Key Points:
- Gold Derby users have made early predictions for the 2026 Tony Awards, with the ceremony scheduled for June 7 at Radio City Music Hall, highlighting a fast-moving awards race.
- In the Best Musical category, Schmigadoon! leads with 44.5% odds, followed by Two Strangers (36.2%) and The Lost Boys (18.4%), while Titanique lags at 1%.
- Liberation dominates the Best Play category with a commanding 93% predicted win, bolstered by its Pulitzer Prize for Drama, far ahead of contenders Giant and The Balusters.
- Cats: The Jellicle Ball is favored to win Best Musical Revival at 62.5%, narrowly ahead of Ragtime at 34.7%, despite Ragtime having more nominations and acting bids.
- Joshua Henry (Ragtime) and Caissie Levy (Ragtime) are strong favorites for Best Actor and Best Actress in a Musical respectively, while John Lithgow (Giant) and Lesley Manville (Oedipus) lead in the Best Actor and Actress in a Play categories.
