Jaguars vs. Ravens prediction, odds, time: 'Thursday Night Football' picks from proven model
Key Points:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars (5-2) aim for their fifth win in six games against the Baltimore Ravens (4-4) on Thursday Night Football, with kickoff at 8:15 p.m. ET from Baltimore's M&T Bank Stadium.
- Baltimore faces significant quarterback challenges as Lamar Jackson (thumb) and Tyler Huntley (toe) are out, leaving rookie Joe Fagnano to start, while Jacksonville's RB Bhayshul Tuten is active despite recent injuries.
- The Jaguars are favored by 9.5 points, making them the biggest road favorite of the 2026 NFL season, with the over/under for total points lowered to 39.5 due to Baltimore's QB injuries.
- SportsLine's model, which simulates games 10,000 times, predicts the game will go over 39.5 points with a 64% probability, projecting around 47 combined points, supported by recent trends in both teams' scoring.
- Key players include Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence, who has 1,690 yards and 17 touchdowns this season, and Ravens RB Derrick Henry, who has 632 rushing yards and eight touchdowns in eight games.