Map Shows Trump’s Election Day Approval Rating in Every State

Key Points:

• New polling from Civiqs shows President Donald Trump has a net disapproval rating in 39 states and all major battlegrounds as Americans vote in the midterm elections, with a national net approval of minus 27 percent.
• Trump has urged Republican voters to treat the midterms as a referendum on his presidency, but experts suggest his rallies primarily mobilize committed supporters rather than persuading undecided voters, with mixed effects on congressional races.
• Trump’s approval is weakest among younger voters (18-34) and women, while older voters and men show relatively higher approval; approval has declined significantly since January 2025 even in traditionally strong Republican states.
• Key battleground states such as Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania show negative net approval for Trump, posing challenges for Republicans who control both the presidency and Congress amid nationalized election dynamics.
• Independent voters, who previously supported Trump in 2024, have largely shifted away from the Republican Party in this midterm cycle, potentially playing a decisive role in election outcomes, while the White House emphasizes Trump’s leadership and policy achievements as motivation for GOP voters.