NATO's deterrence increasingly undermined by lack of response to Russian 'hybrid' attacks

Key Points:

• European leaders warn that Russian hybrid war tactics across NATO territory are escalating into more direct and dangerous kinetic attacks, with recent incidents including explosive-laden drones and assassination attempts.
• Germany has taken a firm stance by blaming Russia for a drone attack at Leipzig airport and shutting the Russian consulate in Bonn, signaling a more confrontational approach against Moscow’s hostile activities.
• NATO's response remains ambiguous partly due to uncertainty over the US commitment to collective defense, which experts warn emboldens Russia to test NATO’s resolve without fear of a unified retaliation.
• Critics argue NATO’s lack of decisive action, despite multiple drone incursions in countries like Poland and Romania, undermines deterrence and exposes alliance disunity, while calls grow for a clearer and stronger collective response.
• The Kremlin has further escalated tensions by threatening Lithuania with nuclear retaliation if it hosts nuclear weapons, highlighting the increasing severity and risks of Russia’s aggressive posture in Europe.