NFL Week 1 picks, odds, best bets: Aaron Rodgers beats Falcons, Broncos upset Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs

NFL Week 1 picks, odds, best bets: Aaron Rodgers beats Falcons, Broncos upset Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs

CBS Sports sports

Key Points:

  • The analyst, who was CBS Sports' top against-the-spread (ATS) performer in 2025 with a 148-122-2 record, previews key NFL Week 1 matchups and shares betting insights.
  • For the Falcons vs. Steelers game, the analyst favors the Steelers -5.5, citing the Falcons' quarterback uncertainty and Pittsburgh's strong home ATS performance.
  • The Vikings are picked to cover -1.5 against the Packers, with optimism about Minnesota's defense and new quarterback Kyler Murray's fit in the offense.
  • The Raiders are favored -3 over the Dolphins due to improvements on both sides of the ball and Miami's perceived weak roster on paper.
  • Other notable picks include the Cowboys -3 over the Giants, emphasizing Dallas' offensive weapons and defensive upgrades, and the Broncos +2.5 over the Chiefs, expecting Denver's strong defense to contain an injury-affected Patrick Mahomes.

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