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Nithya Raman takes lead over Karen Bass in new LA mayor's race odds
nypost.com • • nation
Key Points:
- Los Angeles City Councilmember Nithya Raman holds a 58% chance of winning the Nov. 3 mayoral runoff against Mayor Karen Bass, according to prediction market Polymarket, which reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional polling.
- A mid-September UC Berkeley poll showed Raman with 39% support and Bass at 28%, with 33% of voters still undecided, indicating a competitive race with a large portion of voters up for grabs.
- Raman, who finished second in the June primary with 29% of the vote, has strong support from younger voters and progressive groups, while Bass, leading the primary with 34%, faces criticism over handling homelessness, housing affordability, and wildfire responses.
- Bass holds a high unfavorable rating of 63%, signaling voter dissatisfaction as she seeks re-election, and a key factor in the runoff will be how supporters of third-place finisher Spencer Pratt realign their votes.
- The runoff was necessitated by no candidate securing over 50% in the June primary, setting the stage for a closely watched contest between Raman and Bass.
