NYC, NJ weather: When will the storm hit? Timeline, impacts, more

Key Points:

• A late-week nor'easter is expected to impact the New York City area with gusty winds, high surf, and potential coastal flooding through the weekend, affecting New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut coasts.
• Coastal impacts will begin mid-week, with tidal flooding starting Wednesday afternoon in the Delaware and Chesapeake Bay regions, intensifying through Friday and Saturday with peak wind gusts of 35 to 50 mph and widespread coastal flooding during high tides.
• The storm poses risks of severe beach erosion, dune damage, hazardous rip currents, and structural flooding, particularly along Long Island, Queens, southern Nassau, and coastal Connecticut west of New Haven.
• Forecast models disagree on the storm's track: the European Model predicts a stronger storm closer to shore with heavier rain and storm surge, while the American GFS Model keeps the storm farther offshore, resulting in milder conditions for NYC.
• Regardless of the storm's exact path, persistent waves and high tides are expected to cause significant coastal damage, with rainfall amounts depending on how close the storm ultimately gets to the shore.