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Putin likes his worst option in Ukraine
The Kyiv Independent • • world
Key Points:
- Russian President Vladimir Putin appears to be pursuing escalation in the war with Ukraine rather than seeking a ceasefire, despite the deteriorating situation for Russia.
- Since his 2025 meeting with former U.S. President Donald Trump, Putin has pressured the U.S. to force Ukraine into ceding control of occupied territories, including parts of Donetsk, but Ukraine and Europe resist this.
- Russia’s military capabilities are declining while Ukraine’s technology and strikes, including attacks on Russian infrastructure and supply lines to Crimea, are intensifying, complicating Kremlin control.
- Putin’s insistence on controlling Donetsk and reliance on bombing civilian areas is unlikely to succeed, and losing Crimea would be politically catastrophic for him.
- A ceasefire could end active conflict and open diplomatic channels, but Putin seems determined to continue his current strategy despite risks to his power and Russia’s position.
