Runoff Polls in Texas Senate Contest Have Favored Ken Paxton
The New York Times • • general
Key Points:
- Ken Paxton has maintained a consistent lead over Senator John Cornyn in the Texas Republican primary runoff, with recent polls showing him ahead by significant margins following President Trump's endorsement.
- Paxton performs stronger among non-college-educated voters and those in suburban, rural, and small-town areas, while Cornyn has better support among college-educated and urban voters.
- Voters who supported Paxton in the primary appear more committed to him in the runoff, and many who backed Wesley Hunt are now leaning toward Paxton.
- Turnout will be a critical factor in the runoff, with early voting down over 35% compared to the primary, potentially favoring Paxton’s base of committed, ideologically engaged voters.
- Cornyn's support is stronger among higher-educated voters, but the overall drop in turnout may impact his chances against Paxton in the runoff election.