Spurs vs. Thunder odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for NBA Western Conference final Game 1 matchup on Monday, May 18
Key Points:
- The 2026 NBA Western Conference finals begin Monday night with the second-seeded San Antonio Spurs facing the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City.
- The Spurs advanced after a 4-2 series win over the Minnesota Timberwolves, while the Thunder swept the Los Angeles Lakers 4-0 in their semifinal series.
- De'Aaron Fox of the Spurs is questionable due to an ankle injury ahead of the matchup.
- Oklahoma City is favored by 6.5 points, with the over/under for total points set at 221.5 according to FanDuel Sportsbook.
- The SportsLine Projection Model, which has a strong track record of successful NBA picks, predicts the game will go under the point total and recommends one side of the spread as better value.