'Super Mario Galaxy Movie' Box Office Opening Weekend Projections

Variety • March 31, 2026 • general

Key Points:

"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" is projected to earn $175 million to $180 million domestically in its first five days, with some estimates reaching $190 million to $200 million due to strong anticipation following the success of the 2023 "The Super Mario Bros. Movie."
Internationally, the film is expected to generate at least $175 million, bringing its global total to approximately $350 million to $375 million, positioning it as the biggest debut of the year.
The sequel, costing $110 million to produce, features returning directors Aaron Horvath and Michael Jelenic, with a star-studded voice cast including Chris Pratt, Anya Taylor-Joy, and Jack Black.
A24’s new release "The Drama," starring Zendaya and Robert Pattinson, aims for a $12 million to $15 million opening from 3,000 theaters, following positive reviews and targeting a similar audience to previous successful films.
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" is expected to dominate the box office, surpassing Amazon MGM’s "Project Hail Mary," which is projected to earn $30 million in its third weekend and has already become Amazon’s highest-grossing film with $300 million globally.

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