The Model Predicts Finland to Win Eurovision 2026
ESC Insight • • general
Key Points:
- The Model, a Eurovision prediction tool, forecasts Finland as the winner of Eurovision 2026 in Vienna with the song "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, projected to score 411 points.
- This victory would mark Finland's first Eurovision win in 20 years, since Lordi's 2006 win with "Hard Rock Hallelujah."
- Australia is predicted to finish second, with Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" expected to win the jury vote, while Finland is favored to win the public vote.
- Israel is projected to place third, followed by Romania's "Viva, Moldova!" and Bulgaria's "Bangaranga" in fourth and fifth places, respectively.
- The Model incorporates various data sources, including audience polls, market trends, and musical statistics, and has proven more accurate than betting odds or fan polls in predicting Eurovision outcomes.