The Oil Prices You See Don’t Tell the Market’s Real Story
Key Points:
- Three weeks into the Iran war, oil futures prices have surged significantly, with the Brent benchmark rising over 50% to about $112 a barrel.
- The near-complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz and attacks on Middle East energy infrastructure are severely restricting oil supplies.
- Physical oil prices, including gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, are increasing even more sharply than futures prices due to tight supply conditions.
- This growing disparity highlights the strain on real-world fuel availability and costs for consumers amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.