Thunder vs Spurs Prediction, Picks, Odds for Game 4: Must-Win Spot for San Antonio
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Key Points:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder (2-1) face the San Antonio Spurs (1-2) in Game 4 of the NBA Western Conference Finals on Sunday at 8:00 p.m. ET, with the Spurs favored by 2.5 points at home.
- The Spurs are in a must-win situation to avoid falling behind 3-1 in the series and are expected to make defensive and offensive adjustments, including scaling back on-ball creation for Stephon Castle and leveraging De’Aaron Fox’s efficiency.
- The Thunder have regained momentum after winning Game 3 on the road, but their shooters are unlikely to maintain their recent hot streak, and the Spurs’ strong transition defense may limit Oklahoma City's scoring.
- Betting predictions favor the Spurs to cover the spread (-2.5) and the total points to stay under 219.5, with player prop bets including De'Aaron Fox over 14.5 points and Alex Caruso over 10.5 points.
- Historical trends support backing the home favorite Spurs in Game 4 when down 2-1 after a home loss, with teams in this spot winning 23 of 30 games straight-up and covering the spread 62% of the time.