Top Picks from the CBB Betting Splits for the Final Four on Saturday April 4th

Key Points:

• In the Illinois vs. Connecticut Final Four matchup, the betting line has shifted from Illinois -2.5 to -1.5, indicating sharp money favoring Connecticut with the points, although Illinois is seeing some buyback at a reduced spread and on the moneyline.
• Illinois holds statistical advantages in offensive efficiency, offensive rebounds, free-throw shooting, and turnover rate, with KenPom projecting a four-point Illinois win and a total score of 144, supporting bets on Illinois and the over 139.5.
• In the Michigan vs. Arizona game, the line moved from a pick'em or slight Arizona favorite to Michigan -1.5, signaling smart money on Michigan, particularly on the moneyline where Michigan is receiving a high percentage of dollars despite fewer bets.
• Michigan boasts better offensive efficiency, shooting percentages, and free-throw accuracy, with KenPom projecting a narrow Michigan victory by one point and a total score of 159, justifying bets on Michigan and the over 157.5.
• Both games show public betting splits near 50/50, but sharp bettors are influencing line movements, and the March Madness championship odds favor Arizona/Michigan (+175), followed by Illinois (+400) and Connecticut (+550).