Trump still thinks he’s winning in Iran

Key Points:

• Recent Iran peace talks under the Trump administration show a pattern of fluctuating progress, with reported near-deals followed by new demands and military strikes, indicating a complex and unsettled negotiation process.
• President Trump has expanded his peace deal conditions to include normalization of relations with Israel by several Middle Eastern countries, a move likely to face significant political resistance and complicate negotiations.
• Despite ongoing conflict, Trump appears confident he is not losing the war with Iran, supported by manageable economic impacts and strong approval from his Republican base, suggesting he believes time and strategy favor his position.
• Trump’s primary stated goal has narrowed to preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, but key sticking points remain unresolved, such as the control and location of Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile.
• The administration seems to aim for a broader regional peace deal, inspired by Trump’s vision of "eternal peace" in the Middle East, though current realities and political challenges make such an outcome uncertain.