Ukraine winning war with Russia, retired U.S. generals say, as top Ukrainian commander says over 230 square miles retaken

Key Points:

• Several retired U.S. generals and a former intelligence director believe Ukraine currently holds the upper hand in its war with Russia, supported by Ukraine's recent territorial gains of 600 square kilometers this year, mainly in the southeast.
• Ukraine's success is largely attributed to advancements in mid-range drone strike capabilities, including effective short-range FPV drones causing most Russian casualties and newly deployed long-range drones and cruise missiles targeting deep into Russian territory.
• Ukrainian forces have overcome previous limitations in drone strike range, now regularly hitting targets 30 to 60 miles beyond the front lines, disrupting Russian logistics and command posts, which could degrade Russia's offensive capabilities over time.
• Despite operational gains, experts caution that these successes are fragile and reversible, with no clear strategic victory imminent as both sides remain committed to continued fighting without prospects for a ceasefire.
• Retired military leaders emphasize that while Ukraine is currently outmaneuvering Russia, the conflict remains a stalemate with neither side strong enough to decisively win without escalation, including the potential use of nuclear weapons.