When will the Lions and Jahmyr Gibbs get a deal done?

Key Points:

• The Detroit Lions and running back Jahmyr Gibbs are expected to negotiate a new contract soon, following the Falcons' deal with Bijan Robinson, but Robinson's record-setting contract may complicate Gibbs' negotiations by setting a high market benchmark.
• Robinson's contract raised the average yearly value (APY) for running backs from $20.6 million to $22.25 million, but the running back market overall remains undervalued, potentially limiting Gibbs' contract despite his strong performance and increased role after the Lions moved on from David Montgomery.
• Gibbs has leverage due to his significant offensive contributions, including nearly 1,900 yards from scrimmage and 18-20 total touchdowns in recent seasons, and the Lions' need to improve their offense to avoid missing the playoffs again.
• The Lions are cautious about inflating the running back market further, as it could have salary cap implications and cause resentment among other NFL teams, reflecting the subtle collusion that influences contract negotiations league-wide.
• Gibbs, a three-time Pro Bowler at age 24, is positioned for a major contract payday and may need to hold firm in negotiations to secure a deal exceeding the current running back market, especially given recent high-value deals for other positions like wide receiver.