2026 PGA Championship odds, picks: Advanced golf model reveals projected leaderboard, predictions for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Cameron Young

Key Points:

• The 2026 PGA Championship will be held at Aronimink Golf Club in Greater Philadelphia starting May 14, marking the club's first major since 1962, with Rory McIlroy aiming for back-to-back major wins after the Masters.
• Scottie Scheffler is the betting favorite at +480, followed by McIlroy (+850), Cameron Young (+1200), Jon Rahm (+1500), and Xander Schauffele (+1600), with U.S.-born golfers having won the last 10 PGA Championships.
• SportsLine's advanced computer model, created by DFS pro Mike McClure, has accurately predicted 17 recent majors, including the 2026 Masters and last year's PGA and Open Championships, by simulating tournaments 10,000 times.
• The model's 2026 PGA Championship simulations suggest surprising outcomes, including Cameron Young failing to finish in the top five despite strong odds, and it highlights two long-shot players with +2000 or longer odds as potential big winners.
• Scheffler could become the first back-to-back PGA champion since Tiger Woods if he wins, while McIlroy seeks to become the seventh three-time PGA champion, though he hasn't won this major in 12 years; the model provides unique insights on their chances.