AOC Surges to Lead in 2028 Primary for First Time-Most Accurate Pollster
Newsweek • • nation
Key Points:
- Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads the latest 2028 Democratic primary poll by AtlasIntel with 26% support, marking the first time she tops a poll for the upcoming presidential race.
- The poll surveyed 2,069 U.S. adults in May 2025 and showed Pete Buttigieg (22.4%) and Gavin Newsom (21.2%) trailing Ocasio-Cortez, while Kamala Harris received 12.9%.
- Ocasio-Cortez has not confirmed a presidential run but remains a popular progressive figure, especially among younger voters, though some Democrats worry her policies might alienate swing voters in a general election.
- Prediction markets currently favor Newsom and Harris over Ocasio-Cortez, with her chances estimated around 8%, compared to Newsom's 24-25% and Harris' 9%.
- Other recent polls, like a Harvard/Harris survey, show Harris leading with 50% support, Newsom at 22%, and Ocasio-Cortez at 8%, indicating varied voter preferences across different surveys.