Democrat Mary Peltola is likely to win Alaska’s Senate race, as vote counting continues
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Democrat Mary Peltola is likely to win Alaska’s Senate race, as vote counting continues

NBC News • • general

Key Points:

  • Former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola is likely to win Alaska’s Senate race, according to an NBC News Decision Desk analysis, with at least 95% confidence in her victory.
  • Peltola has steadily increased her narrow lead over incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan as more votes are counted, with the race still uncalled a week after Election Day.
  • Alaska’s unique ranked-choice voting system and the state's heavy mail-in voting, where ballots postmarked by Election Day are counted if received by Nov. 13, are factors contributing to the delayed final results.
  • If Peltola wins, Democrats will hold a 56-44 majority in the Senate for the upcoming term.
  • Alaska’s Senate race is currently the only 2026 Senate contest without a final projection from the NBC News Decision Desk.

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