Democrats Lead 10 Senate Races With 'Most Accurate Pollster'

Key Points:

• Voters are casting ballots in 10 key Senate races where Democrats currently hold leads, testing whether dissatisfaction with President Trump and Republican control will cause GOP losses in midterms.
• AtlasIntel’s final polls show Democratic advantages ranging from 2.4 points in Minnesota to 14.9 points in North Carolina, though some races remain close enough for turnout or polling errors to affect outcomes.
• Political scientist Costas Panagopoulos notes midterms often serve as referenda on the incumbent party’s performance, with current dissatisfaction possibly creating a Democratic advantage, especially among independent voters.
• Key Democratic leads include former North Carolina governor Roy Cooper and Maine’s Troy Jackson, while tight contests are underway in states like Minnesota, Alaska (using ranked-choice voting), and Kansas, which has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932.
• Republicans currently hold a 53-45 Senate majority, with Democrats needing a net gain of four seats to take control; the final results will reveal if polling trends translate into an electoral wave.