Democrats open big midterm edge in new Marquette national poll
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Democrats open big midterm edge in new Marquette national poll

Milwaukee Journal Sentinel nation

Key Points:

  • A Marquette Law School poll shows Democrats leading Republicans by 13 points nationally among likely voters for the 2026 midterm elections, marking the largest Democratic advantage recorded by Marquette this year.
  • President Donald Trump's approval rating has dropped to 37%, the lowest of his presidency, negatively impacting Republican candidates, especially among independent voters where Democrats hold nearly a 20-point lead.
  • Democrats demonstrate greater party unity and higher voter turnout enthusiasm compared to Republicans, with 98% of Democrats backing their candidates versus 93% of Republicans.
  • Voters now favor Democrats on key issues such as inflation and the economy, areas previously dominated by Republicans, with Democrats holding a 12-point edge on inflation and a 5-point edge on the economy.
  • Despite structural advantages for Republicans in many key races due to gerrymandering and political geography, factors like Trump's unpopularity and Democratic voter motivation make a potential Democratic gain in Congress plausible this fall.

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