Everyone wants Israel out of the US-Iran war. That could change in hours

Key Points:

• Israel initially urged the U.S. to take a tougher stance against Iran but currently remains outside the direct conflict, with both Israel and the U.S. preferring to limit Israel’s involvement to avoid complicating the regional situation.
• Gulf states oppose Israeli participation due to potential domestic and political backlash, preferring the conflict to remain between the U.S. and Iran to maintain their cooperation with Washington and avoid inflaming public opinion.
• Both Israel and the U.S. are cautious; Israel benefits from U.S. pressure on Iran without direct engagement, while the U.S. aims to prevent broader regional escalation and maintain international support by keeping Israel out of the conflict.
• Iran seeks to portray itself as resilient against U.S. pressure and avoids expanding the conflict to certain Gulf countries, while also being wary of provoking Israel, which is preparing for potential future involvement if Iran escalates attacks.
• Diplomatic movements include a canceled U.S. official visit to Israel and a pending Netanyahu trip to Washington, reflecting delicate timing and concerns about perceptions of Israeli influence on U.S. decisions regarding renewed conflict with Iran.