February 2026 jobs report preview
Key Points:
- The 2025 labor market is described as "unstable" with minimal job growth and multiple challenges, while 2026 is expected to be "stable" despite similar conditions.
- Companies are cautious about hiring due to uncertainties like tariffs, inflation, and geopolitics, resulting in a low-hire, low-fire environment where layoffs are also minimized.
- Economists and Federal Reserve officials are more optimistic about labor market stability, attributing subdued hiring rates to factors like immigration clampdowns and viewing current job growth as adequate.
- Job growth is heavily concentrated in health care and social assistance sectors, raising concerns about the balance and stability of the labor market, while sectors like construction and technology face declines.
- February's employment report