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Final rating changes: 63 races move toward Democrats, 1 toward Republicans

Roll Call • October 31, 2026 • nation

Key Points:

Inside Elections has shifted 64 race ratings this week, with 63 moving in favor of Democrats across House, Senate, and gubernatorial contests, reflecting broad Democratic gains on traditionally Republican turf.
Democrats are projected to gain 20-30 House seats, expanding the battleground to 82 competitive races, including many Republican-held districts now rated more vulnerable.
The Senate map has also shifted toward Democrats, who are favored to pick up 4-6 seats, including key toss-up races in Ohio and Texas moving to Tilt Democratic.
Several gubernatorial races previously rated toss-ups have tilted Democratic, including open seats in Alaska, Georgia, Ohio, and Wisconsin, while some Republican incumbents face tighter contests.
The overall trend echoes the 2006 midterms, with an unpopular Republican president contributing to a potential Democratic wave election that could flip control of both chambers.

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