FPI Predicts Every BYU Football Game, Sets Big 12 Title Odds
Key Points:
- ESPN FPI's preseason rankings place BYU at No. 20 with a projected 8.5-3.5 record for the 2026 college football season, favoring BYU in 11 of 12 games except against Notre Dame.
- BYU starts the season with an FPI rating of 13.1, slightly lower than their 2025 rating of 15.3, and faces only one top 25 preseason team, Notre Dame, ranked No. 3.
- The probability of BYU having a "special season" with 10 or more wins stands at 32.1%, while the chance of an undefeated season is just 1.3%.
- Within the Big 12, BYU ranks second in FPI behind Texas Tech and holds a 16.5% chance to win the conference title, with Texas Tech as the strong favorite at 45.9%.
- BYU has a 25.7% chance to make the College Football Playoff, the second highest in the Big 12 after Texas Tech's 57.9%, according to FPI projections.