Hurricane center continues to track 1st Atlantic basin system with chance to form
Orlando Sentinel • • nation
Key Points:
- The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring a potential tropical system forming over the Bay of Campeche, originating from a tropical wave near the Yucatan Peninsula.
- Current forecasts indicate only a 10% chance of development into a tropical depression or storm within the next two to seven days, with environmental conditions only marginally favorable.
- The system is expected to move inland over eastern Mexico by late Saturday or Sunday and poses no threat to Florida.
- The Atlantic hurricane season, which officially began June 1 and runs through November 30, has been quiet so far, unlike the active eastern Pacific basin that has seen three tropical storms.
- NOAA's forecast for the 2024 season predicts below-normal activity, estimating 8-14 named storms, 3-6 hurricanes, and 1-3 major hurricanes, compared to the average of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.