IEA Chief Says Oil, Gas Recovery Could Take Two Years After War Damage
Key Points:
- International Energy Agency chief Fatih Birol warns it could take up to two years to restore a significant portion of oil and gas production lost due to the Iran war, as damaged facilities require extensive repairs.
- The Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, disrupting a critical export route and removing hundreds of millions of barrels from the market, with over 80 oil and gas facilities across the Persian Gulf damaged.
- Oil production losses are estimated at up to 13 million barrels per day, with natural gas recovery potentially taking even longer, especially for LNG terminals that may need more than two years to resume normal operations.
- The supply disruption has caused spot crude prices to surge near $150 per barrel, leading to fuel rationing, reduced industrial activity, and inflation pressures, particularly affecting emerging markets in Asia and Africa.
- Early signs of demand destruction are emerging as refiners compete for limited supply and cut runs, indicating that the energy crisis will have significant economic impacts globally.