Iran Update, December 16, 2025
Institute for the Study of War••world
Key Points:
- The newly formed Mobarizoun Popular Front (MPF), a coalition of Baloch groups including Jaish al Adl, urged Iranians to participate in protests against the Iranian regime using civil actions and secure communication methods, emphasizing non-replacement of national flags and coordinated political efforts.
- Iran's oil exports slightly declined from October to November 2025, averaging around 2.04 to 2.06 million barrels per day, with sales mainly to China, UAE, and Malaysia, and reportedly offered a 5-10% discount to buyers.
- Syrian security forces arrested an ISIS cell responsible for multiple attacks on government forces along the M5 highway in northern Idlib, amid a broader increase in ISIS attacks following Syria's joining
