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James Talarico Chances of Victory Hit Record High After Best Poll Yet
Newsweek • • general
Key Points:
- Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton by seven points in the latest New York Times/Siena College poll, marking his strongest showing in the Texas Senate race ahead of the midterm elections.
- Prediction markets also favor Talarico, with platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi giving him approximately a 74-76% chance of winning, signaling increased confidence in his prospects despite Texas' Republican-leaning history.
- Talarico frames the election as a fight against entrenched interests, positioning himself as a candidate for ordinary Texans such as teachers, nurses, farmers, and ranchers.
- Paxton continues to campaign vigorously, emphasizing his economic plan and urging Republican voter turnout, though his final campaign schedule saw the removal of a high-profile event at the Alamo without explanation.
- The race remains highly competitive and closely watched, with both candidates making last-minute efforts to secure votes in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988.
