New poll should make Texas GOP very, very afraid
Key Points:
- Republicans redrew Texas’ 9th Congressional District to flip it from Democrat to Republican, with Trump winning the seat by nearly 20 points in 2024 after Kamala Harris had won it by 44 points in 2020.
- A recent poll from Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez’s campaign shows her trailing GOP nominee Alex Mealer 39% to 45%, indicating the race remains competitive despite Republican advantages.
- The Cook Political Report recently classified the 9th District as "Likely Republican," but the close polling suggests it could flip if a strong Democratic wave emerges.
- In the Senate race within the district, Republican Ken Paxton leads Democrat James Talarico by only 1 point (48% to 47%), signaling potential vulnerabilities for Paxton in a key area.
- Trump’s super PAC is spending heavily on attack ads against Gutierrez, which may inadvertently help Paxton by encouraging split-ticket voting among 9th District voters.