Oil May Reach $200 If Iran War Extends to June, Macquarie Says

Oil May Reach $200 If Iran War Extends to June, Macquarie Says

Bloomberg.com general

Key Points:

  • Macquarie Group Ltd. warns that oil prices could soar to a record $200 per barrel if the Iran war continues until June and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.
  • Analysts, including Vikas Dwivedi, estimate a 40% probability of the conflict extending through the second quarter, leading to historically high real oil prices.
  • There is a 60% chance the war may end by the end of the current month, which would likely prevent such extreme price spikes.

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