Oracle's crystal ball says blue wave from top to bottom in Nevada, with one Flippo exception

Key Points:

• Veteran political analyst Jon Ralston reflects on his long history of Nevada election predictions, boasting a roughly 90% accuracy rate in major races despite the state's challenging and close contests.
• For the 2024 Nevada governor's race, Ralston predicts a narrow victory for Democrat Aaron Ford over incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo, citing a strong Democratic early/mail vote advantage and challenges for Lombardo due to President Trump's influence.
• Other statewide constitutional offices are expected to lean Democratic, with key races such as lieutenant governor, attorney general, secretary of state, treasurer, and controller predicted to be won by Democrats amid a broader blue wave.
• In congressional races, incumbents in Democratic districts are favored to hold their seats comfortably, while the Republican-held 2nd District remains competitive but likely to stay Republican despite candidate controversies.
• The Nevada Legislature is projected to maintain a Democratic supermajority in both the Assembly and Senate, while local races and ballot questions are expected to favor Democratic candidates and measures.