Over or under? Sizing up all 32 NFL teams' 2026 win total

Key Points:

• Several NFL teams are projected to either exceed or fall short of their preseason win totals for 2026, with expert picks provided based on offseason moves and roster evaluations.
• Teams like the Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Carolina Panthers, Chicago Bears, Cincinnati Bengals, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles Rams, San Francisco 49ers, and Seattle Seahawks are favored to surpass their win totals due to strong offenses, improved defenses, or favorable schedules.
• Conversely, teams such as the Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Cleveland Browns, Green Bay Packers, Indianapolis Colts, Las Vegas Raiders, Miami Dolphins, New York Giants, New York Jets, Philadelphia Eagles, Pittsburgh Steelers, Tennessee Titans, and Washington Commanders are predicted to fall short of expectations due to factors like quarterback uncertainty, tough schedules, or ongoing rebuilds.
• Key uncertainties include quarterback health and performance (e.g., Patrick Mahomes, Jordan Love, Kyler Murray), coaching changes (e.g., Joe Brady with the Bills, Mike McDaniel with the Chargers), and defensive upgrades or declines impacting team outlooks.
• The NFC South is highlighted as a weak division overall, with relatively low win total projections, while teams like the Rams and Ravens are considered top Super Bowl contenders based on offseason acquisitions and roster strength.