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Poll: Voters demand change and a check on Trump, fueling a steep Democratic midterm advantage

NBC News • November 1, 2026 • nation

Key Points:

A new NBC News poll shows Democrats leading Republicans by 7 points (52%-45%) in preference for control of Congress ahead of the midterm elections, with a 21-point lead among independents.
President Donald Trump's disapproval rating has reached a new high of 60%, amid widespread voter dissatisfaction with the economy and a desire for change from his leadership direction.
Despite Democrats' advantage, voters rate both parties evenly on handling key issues, and the Democratic Party remains unpopular, with only 29% viewing it positively compared to 38% for Republicans.
Republican voters remain loyal in GOP-held districts and Trump-won states, but Trump’s approval is declining among non-MAGA Republicans, young voters, Latinos, and white voters without college degrees.
Voter enthusiasm is high for the midterms, with Democrats leading among highly engaged voters, but the Democratic lead is largely driven by anti-Republican sentiment rather than strong support for Democrats themselves.

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