Prediction Markets Hit 35% on Chance of Trump Removal
Daily Kos • • business
Key Points:
- Prediction markets on Kalshi showed increased trading activity and rising odds that the 25th Amendment could be invoked to remove President Donald Trump from office.
- The contract on Kalshi asking if the 25th Amendment would be used during Trump's presidency saw "Yes" share prices climb from 28.6% to 35.1% over the past month.
- This 35.1% figure is the second highest probability recorded since the start of Trump's second term, with the market initially pricing the chance at 15% in January 2025.
- The rise in trading volume and prices indicates growing market speculation about potential Cabinet action declaring the president unfit to serve.
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