Russia is Planning ‘Something Big’ This Year, Sikorski Warns as Escalation Fears Grow
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Russia is Planning ‘Something Big’ This Year, Sikorski Warns as Escalation Fears Grow

Kyiv Post • • world

Key Points:

  • Poland’s Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski warned that Russia is preparing “something big” this year, based on multiple intelligence sources, raising concerns about potential escalation against NATO.
  • Sikorski suggested Russia might stage a false-flag attack to justify further mobilization, portraying it as a defensive response to alleged aggression.
  • The Baltic countries with Russian minorities are considered at risk of Russian provocations, though a full-scale invasion of a NATO member is deemed unlikely due to the alliance’s mutual-defense commitments.
  • Belarus, a close Russian ally that has hosted parts of Russia’s invasion and nuclear weapons, remains concerned about being drawn into the conflict, with recent high-level diplomatic talks between Poland and Belarus.
  • Despite economic strains, Russia may sustain the war for another year or two, relying on mobilization, harsh winter conditions, and attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, while Ukraine continues strategic long-range strikes inside Russia.

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